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What's Driving AST SpaceMobile Stock Lower Friday?

AST SpaceMobile Inc (NASDAQ:ASTS) shares are trading lower Friday afternoon as investors continued to weigh recent financing headlines and a softer tape for speculative space stocks. Here’s what investors need to know.

ASTS Stock Pressured By $1B Convertible Notes Deal

AST SpaceMobile recently priced $1.0 billion of 2.250% convertible senior notes due 2036, with an initial conversion price of about $116.30 per share, roughly a 20% premium to the Feb. 11 close, plus an option for purchasers to buy up to an additional $150 million of notes. Shares are down some 17% since the offering announcement on Feb. 11.

How AST SpaceMobile Plans To Use The Proceeds

The company said it expects net proceeds of about $983.7 million (or roughly $1.13 billion if the option is exercised) and intends to use the capital for general corporate purposes.

Those uses include accelerating global spectrum deployment, investing in U.S. government space opportunities, reducing higher-interest debt and making opportunistic investments tied to its SpaceMobile Service buildout.

SpaceX IPO Chatter Hits Sentiment Across Space Stocks

Broader sector sentiment has also been fragile, with reports pointing to mounting evidence of a potential SpaceX IPO that could value the company around $1.5 trillion—driving a "wait-and-see" posture and capital rotation away from established public space names.

ASTS Stock Signals Mixed Momentum

Currently, the stock is trading 20.7% below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and 11.7% below its 50-day SMA, indicating short-term weakness.

However, it is slightly above its 100-day SMA by 0.6%, showing some longer-term strength, and has increased by 154.92% over the past 12 months, positioning it closer to its 52-week highs than lows.

Price with Moving Averages Chart for ASTS - Chart ID price-ma-ASTS-1771616568733-ixjla8302

The RSI is at 43.88, which is considered neutral territory, suggesting no immediate overbought or oversold conditions. Meanwhile, the MACD shows a value of -2.9065, below its signal line at 0.5250, indicating bearish pressure on the stock.

RSI Heatmap Timeline Chart for ASTS - Chart ID rsi-hm-ASTS-1771616569768-21truunz6

The combination of neutral RSI and bearish MACD suggests mixed momentum, reflecting uncertainty in the stock’s performance.

  • Key Resistance: $93.00
  • Key Support: $69.50

ASTS Earnings Report Due March 2

The countdown is on: ASTS is set to report earnings on March 2.

  • EPS Estimate: Loss of 19 cents (Up from Loss of 18 cents)
  • Revenue Estimate: $41.21 million (Up from $1.92 million)

Analyst Consensus & Recent Actions: The stock carries a Hold Rating with an average price target of $59.83. Recent analyst moves include:

  • B. Riley Securities: Neutral (Lowers Target to $95.00) (Feb. 13)
  • B. Riley Securities: Downgraded to Neutral (Raises Target to $105.00) (Jan. 13)
  • Scotiabank: Downgraded to Sector Underperform (Target $45.60) (Jan. 7)

ASTS Shares Slide Friday

ASTS Price Action: AST SpaceMobile shares were down 7.21% at $80.17 at the time of publication on Friday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

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