U.S. senators, led by Jim Banks and Elizabeth Warren, urged the Commerce Department to suspend export licences allowing Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) to sell advanced AI chips to China and Southeast Asia after a smuggling case involving Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) co-founder Yih-Shyan Liaw.

Lawmakers said the alleged diversion of chips raises serious national security concerns and questioned prior assurances from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday. Nvidia said compliance remains a "top priority," while policymakers push for tighter export controls and supply chain monitoring.

Technical Analysis

Nvidia is trading 3.9% below its 20-day SMA and 5.5% below its 100-day SMA, keeping the near-term trend pointed down even as the longer-term structure is still being tested. Shares are up 44.67% over the past 12 months and are positioned closer to their 52-week highs than lows.

The RSI is at 41.93, which sits in neutral territory but leans toward weakening momentum rather than a washed-out oversold setup. Meanwhile, MACD is at -2.2690 and below its signal line at -1.3989, a bearish configuration that suggests rallies are still getting sold.

The combination of RSI in the 30–50 range and bearish MACD suggests mixed momentum.

  • Key Resistance: $194.00
  • Key Support: $170.50

Earnings & Analyst Outlook

Looking further out, the next major catalyst for the stock arrives with the May 27, 2026 (estimated) earnings report.

  • EPS Estimate: $1.74 (Up from 96 cents YoY)
  • Revenue Estimate: $78.72 Billion (Up from $44.06 Billion YoY)
  • Valuation: P/E of 35.8x (Indicates premium valuation relative to peers)

Analyst Consensus & Recent Actions: The stock carries a Buy Rating with an average price target of $281.04. Recent analyst moves include:

  • Rosenblatt: Buy (Maintains Target to $325.00) (Mar. 23)
  • Cantor Fitzgerald: Overweight (Maintains Target to $300.00) (Mar. 23)
  • Raymond James: Strong Buy (Raises Target to $323.00) (Mar. 19)

Top ETF Exposure

  • Amplify CWP Growth & Income ETF (NYSE:QDVO): 9.73% Weight
  • REX AI Equity Premium Income ETF (NASDAQ:AIPI): 9.97% Weight
  • Xtrackers Net Zero Pathway Paris Aligned U.S. Equity ETF (NYSE:USNZ): 9.58% Weight

Significance: Because NVDA carries such a heavy weight in these funds, any significant inflows or outflows will likely trigger automatic buying or selling of the stock.

Price Action

NVDA Price Action: Nvidia shares were down 0.65% at $174.50 at the time of publication on Tuesday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Photo by Saulo Ferreira Angelo via Shutterstock