Fed's Paulson Says Fed Has Made Notable Progress Bringing Inflation Down; Iran War Creates Risks For Growth And Inflation; Inflation Levels Are Still Too High, Inflation Expectations 'Fragile'; No Evidence Labor Market Is Driving Inflation Now; Above-Target Inflation Would Complicate Fed's Response To Growth Driven By AI; Says Her R-Star Estimate Is Close To Fed Median Of 3.1%; Unclear How Much AI Is Driving Higher Productivity So Far