A highly anticipated SpaceX IPO could make Elon Musk a trillionaire and reward any private shareholders of the space company, including Gerber Kawasaki CEO Ross Gerber. In an interview with Benzinga, Gerber says he's likely to sell his SpaceX shares based on extreme valuations being assigned to the company.
SpaceX IPO
While some may view Gerber as a Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) critic and villain these days, he assures Benzinga that he's only a critic of Musk.
Asked if Musk may keep his promise to give Tesla shareholders early access to SpaceX shares ahead of the IPO, Gerber thinks this promise may come true.
"I think he will," Gerber told Benzinga. "I think he will give anybody access to these SpaceX shares at $2 trillion."
Gerber said the valuation may be "outrageous" based on a company doing around $20 billion in annual revenue.
"How in God's name is it worth so much money?"
The wealth manager tells Benzinga he owns SpaceX stock thanks to investing in "sh**ty Twitter with Elon." That investment has doubled or tripled, which comes as Gerber says Twitter, now known as X, is likely worth substantially less.
Gerber questions the math of the new valuation for the combination of X, xAI and SpaceX, which are all one company after several mergers.
"Finance is kind of like gravity. Eventually the forces of economics happen and so investors who you know invest in SpaceX at $2 trillion for them to make a decent return will need it to be worth $4 trillion."
What Happens After SpaceX IPO
At a $2 trillion valuation and rising valuations of private companies, Gerber can't help but question if there is a bubble ready to pop, saying it could be "one of the biggest bubbles" he's seen in a long time.
"Thank God they're not in the public markets because I'm in the public markets and I don't want bubbles here," Gerber told Benzinga.
Gerber said once companies are public, they have to put up numbers. He uses Netflix, the streaming giant that recently reported quarterly earnings, as an example. The company beat analyst estimates for revenue and earnings per share, but the stock fell because guidance was a little light.
"It's very hard to be a public company. So SpaceX is going to do everything possible to put what we call the sizzle on the stock so that everybody in America wants a piece."
Gerber said private equity investors are likely to cash out of their SpaceX stock ahead of the offering if they can or after the company goes public. Gerber himself plans to sell at least half of his SpaceX stock once it's public.
The wealth manager said that Gerber Kawasaki is also working with some SpaceX employees and they're being advised to cash out.
Some investors and employees may have to wait months to cash out of their SpaceX shares, which could create concerns of valuation crashes months after the IPO.
"So when this six-month mark hits, you know, there's a tsunami of private equity that wants to cash in on their 10x, 100x returns."
Photo: Findaview/Shutterstock
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