Intuitive Machines Inc. (NASDAQ:LUNR) stock is cooling off on Friday, as market participants actively lock in profits. The pullback follows a 13% rally during Thursday’s trading session, which was ignited by a wave of bullish analyst sentiment.

The Nasdaq is up 0.29% while the S&P 500 has gained 0.21%.

Analyst Upgrades Price Forecast

The primary catalyst behind Thursday’s aggressive upward move was a highly optimistic analyst note from Roth Capital. The firm significantly raised its price forecast on the space exploration stock from $50 to $75, maintaining its high-conviction stance on the company’s long-term commercial potential.

The Broader SpaceX Proxy Frenzy

The volatility in Intuitive Machines arrives amid an unprecedented capital influx into the commercial space economy. Wall Street is currently hunting for liquid SpaceX proxy trades ahead of Elon Musk’s highly anticipated rocket and satellite giant IPO. This fervor recently pushed the Procure Space ETF (NASDAQ:UFO) past $1 billion in assets under management (AUM).

Strong Fundamentals Support Space Sector

While LUNR experiences a temporary Friday cooling period, the broader sector backdrop remains exceptionally strong. Expanding government defense spending, NASA’s ongoing Moon Base updates, and growing lunar transportation initiatives continue to provide structural tailwinds for the infrastructure provider.

LUNR’s Key Technical Levels To Watch

The bigger-picture trend is still pointed up: LUNR is trading 28% above its 20-day SMA ($32.21) and 147.5% above its 200-day SMA ($16.66), which tells you the stock remains in a powerful uptrend despite today’s dip.

The 20-day SMA is above the 50-day SMA (bullish), and the golden cross (50-day SMA above the 200-day SMA) that formed in November 2025 continues to support the longer-term trend narrative.

Momentum is the key tension right now: RSI is 73.41, which is overbought and lines up with the idea that price has gotten stretched and is vulnerable to shakeouts.

  • Key Resistance: $46.75 — the 52-week high zone from May, where sellers often show up on retests
  • Key Support: $32.21 — the 20-day SMA area, a logical first trend support if the pullback deepens

LUNR Price Action: Intuitive Machines shares were down 13.44% at $39.56 at the time of publication on Friday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

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