Brown-Forman (NYSE:B) (NYSE: BF-B) reported fourth-quarter financial results on Thursday. The transcript from the company's fourth-quarter earnings call has been provided below.
This content is powered by Benzinga APIs. For comprehensive financial data and transcripts, visit https://www.benzinga.com/apis/.
View the webcast at https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/64oj9ajq/
Summary
Brown-Forman reported strong fiscal 2026 results, exceeding organic expectations with robust growth in international markets, particularly in Mexico and the travel retail channel.
The company decided to terminate discussions with Pernod Ricard, emphasizing a focus on long-term shareholder value through strategic priorities like expanding geographic footprint and enhancing operational efficiency.
For fiscal 2027, Brown-Forman anticipates flat organic net sales due to challenging macroeconomic conditions, but remains optimistic about growth through innovation and new distributor relationships.
The Jack Daniel's Tennessee BlackBerry product continues to perform exceptionally well, driving growth both in the US and internationally.
Despite a challenging operating environment, the company maintained strong cash flow, increased its dividend for the 42nd consecutive year, and repurchased $400 million in shares.
Brown-Forman projects a 3-5% decline in organic operating income for fiscal 2027 due to ongoing cost pressures, particularly from higher input costs and inflation.
The company remains committed to its long-term pricing strategy and capital allocation philosophy, focusing on sustainable growth and shareholder returns.
Full Transcript
OPERATOR
Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to The Brown Forman fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising that your hand is raised to withdraw your question. Please press star 11 again.
Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Sue Parham, Vice President and Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Sue Parham (Vice President Director, Investor Relations)
Thank you and good morning everyone. I would like to thank each of you for joining us today for Brown Forman's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 earnings call. Joining me today are Lawson Whiting, President and Chief Executive Officer and Jim Peters, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. This morning's conference call contains forward looking statements based on our current expectations. Numerous risks and uncertainties may cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated or projected in these statements.
Many of the factors that will determine future results are beyond the Company's ability to control or predict. You should not place undue reliance on any forward looking statements and except as required by law, the company undertakes no obligation to update any of these statements, whether due to new information, future events or otherwise. This morning we issued a press release containing our results for the fourth quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 in addition to posting presentation materials that Lawson and Jim will walk through momentarily.
Both the release and the presentation can be found on our website under the section titled Investors Events and Presentations. In the press release, we have listed a number of the risk factors you should consider in conjunction with our forward looking statements. Other significant risk factors are described in our 2025 Form 10K and from time to time in our Form 10-Q reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. During this call we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures.
These measures, a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and the reasons management believes they provide useful information to investors regarding the Company's financial condition and results of operations are contained in the press release and investor presentation. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Lawson.
Lawson E. Whiting
Thank you, Sue and good morning everyone. I'm pleased to report that Brown Forman delivered a strong finish to fiscal 2026 with full year results coming in ahead of our organic expectations. Today I'll walk through the key drivers of this performance, including the continued success of our innovation pipeline and our momentum in international markets. Then I'll turn the call over to Jim to discuss our financial metrics and our full year outlook for fiscal 2027.
Before I move to our results, I want to provide a few comments regarding the termination of our discussions with Pernod Ricard First, Brown Forman regularly explores strategic opportunities in the normal course of business, evaluating every opportunity against the standard of long term shareholder value. In this particular case, we were unable to reach mutually agreeable terms. Our ultimate goal was to create long term value for all shareholders and we intend to do that by focusing on our strategic and operational priorities, which include expanding our geographic footprint, building brands that resonate with consumers and enhancing operational
efficiency. Our strong balance sheet and healthy free cash flow support our long held capital allocation philosophy of investing in the business, paying increasing regular dividends, pursuing strategic opportunities and returning cash to shareholders. With that, let's turn our attention to our results. Despite continued volatility and uncertainty, we delivered fiscal 2026 organic net sales and organic operating income above our expectations and and performed near the top of our industry.
The drivers of our business were very consistent throughout the fiscal year as market conditions remained largely unchanged. Specifically, key emerging international markets in the travel retail channel experienced strong growth supported by solid demand for our brands, while macroeconomic uncertainty continued to pressure discretionary spending in the US and many developed international markets. Substantially lower used barrel sales and the trade dispute between the U.S.
and Canada remained persistent headwinds, negatively impacting our full year organic net sales by more than two points with a significantly greater impact on our organic operating income. While these external factors were outside of our control, internally our team remained laser focused on executing our fiscal 2026 strategic initiatives, including our organizational evolution, a generational US route-to-consumer transformation, and meaningful innovation led by the launch of Jack Daniel's Tennessee BlackBerry.
I'm very proud of the way our people navigated a challenging and dynamic operating environment. They remained resilient and agile while making the necessary changes in how we think, work and lead. The results Jim and I are sharing with you today are a direct result of their efforts and a testament to their dedication and hard work, and I'm deeply appreciative of their continued focus on our strategic priorities. Now to the numbers for the year. Reported net sales declined 1% with organic net sales flat after adjusting for the unfavorable impact related to the absence of Korbel and Sonoma-Cutrer as well as the positive effect of foreign exchange
for the first time in decades, Brown Forman is no longer in the wine or champagne business from a Geographic Perspective the emerging international markets collectively delivered organic net sales growth of 12% driven by the strong double digit performance of New Mix in Mexico. New Mix Mexico's original Tequila RTD continues to gain market share while leading the fast growing RTD category in Mexico. This momentum is supported by the consumer trends of flavor, convenience and value, especially as macroeconomic headwinds continue to impact consumer spending.
The travel retail channel delivered 5% organic net sales growth driven by Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey which benefited from an increase in the number of travelers as well as new product launches such as Jack Daniel's Tennessee BlackBerry and Jack Daniel's Heritage Barrel. Organic net sales collectively for the developed international markets declined by 3%. This was led by Canada which decreased nearly 60% as American made products remain off shelves in the majority of Canadian provinces.
In addition, the macroeconomic landscape within numerous European markets remains under pressure as persistent headwinds continue to weigh on consumer sentiment resulting in a more cautious approach to discretionary spending. This behavior is notable in Germany and the UK where total distilled spirits trends remain weak and our organic net sales declined 7% and 9% respectively. Despite the challenging environment in Europe, we're maintaining or gaining share of the whiskey category in six of our top eight European markets and strategic innovation is delivering growth with Jack Daniels Tennessee BlackBerry continuing to outperform expectations,
achieving almost 150,000 9 liter depletions across six European launch markets in fiscal 2026. Also within the developed international markets, our route-to-consumer decisions are delivering strong growth in our most recently launched owned distribution markets of Italy and Japan. In fiscal 2026, Italy doubled its organic net sales driven by price and distribution momentum. We experienced growth across the entire portfolio of brands led by Gin Mare, Italy's number one super premium gin by volume and value, and Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey, which both delivered very strong double digit growth in Japan.
Our distribution of the William Grant and Sons portfolio enables us to leverage our combined premium spirits expertise to scale our Japanese operations and deepen our relationship with trade partners, further reinforcing our commitment to driving growth and innovation within the world's third-largest whiskey market. We continue to believe that owning our distribution fosters deeper engagement with our trade partners, drives the expansion of super premium labels such as Diplomatico and Ginmare, and reinforces the strength of our iconic American whiskey portfolio anchored by the Jack Daniels family of brands.
Let's turn now to the United States where we also made significant route-to-consumer decisions, naming 11 new distributors across 25 markets. With these changes, we've engaged with distributors who we believe bring the capabilities, scale and operational excellence required to drive our next generation of growth. As we recognize the benefits of enhanced dedication and focus, increased distributor investment funds and an improved margin structure.
Organic net sales were flat in the US in fiscal 2026, which remained ahead of both our depletion based results and takeaway trends driven by the benefit from our US Distributor changes and the ongoing impact of innovation in general. Innovation has been one of the few sources of growth within Total Distilled Spirits. Since the launch of Jack Daniel's Tennessee BlackBerry in August of 2025, the brand has continued to exceed expectations, reaching almost 300,000 9 liter depletions by the end of the fiscal year.
It's the second largest new product by value within Total Distilled Spirits in Nielsen. We had expected the gap between shipments and depletions of BlackBerry to close during fiscal 2026, but we continue to see excitement and an outstanding consumer engagement for the brand. While shipments of BlackBerry exceeded depletions, the gap between the two continues to narrow. In addition to the strong US launch, we're encouraged by BlackBerry's early performance in markets outside of the United States where we have launched the brand.
Our team is now focused on capitalizing on this momentum as we continue executing our multi year phased global launch of BlackBerry. But BlackBerry wasn't the only innovation within the Jack Daniels family of brands in fiscal 2026. This year we made the Jack Daniels Single Barrel Heritage Barrel the newest permanent addition to the Jack Daniels Single Barrel collection. The expression was originally shared as a special release in 2018 and 2019 and has already received multiple awards.
In 2018 it was named Whiskey Advocate's number three Whiskey of the Year and just last year it was named Breaking Bourbon's number one whiskey of 2025. Our super premium innovations further strengthened Jack Daniel's craftsmanship and and whiskey making credentials and we believe they will be continued growth drivers for the Jack Daniels family of brands in the upcoming years. In addition to innovation, RTDs are the other source of growth within Total Distilled Spirits and we continue to apply a consumer first approach to our RTD portfolio.
First, the launch of New Mix in select US Markets has surpassed our expectations. New Mix is an opportunity for us to connect with Mexican American consumers through a highly recognizable brand while simultaneously introducing new consumers to the world's first tequila based rtd. We're also continuing to innovate within the high growth Tequila RTD category in the US where we launched el Jimador Spritz this spring for RTD drinkers seeking a light, refreshing option.
Following the brand's initial introduction in Australia last summer, performance has continued to exceed our expectations, giving us confidence in its potential. While still early, we believe the initial launch in the US Is off to a solid start and look forward to providing you with future updates. In summary, I'm proud to say that we delivered on our plan in fiscal 2026 by executing our strategic priorities with excellence and managing the factors within our control.
We acted swiftly in a challenging and dynamic operating environment with a focus on our brands, geographies and people as we strategically innovated with a focus on the premium plus brands and ready to drink offerings to strengthen our brand portfolio and align with current consumer trends. We made key route-to-consumer transitions including Japan, Italy and the United States and streamlined our workforce structure with the goal of accelerating growth in an increasingly challenging and competitive environment.
With that, after 19/4 of hosting this conference call with Leanne, we now have a new CFO and I'm pleased to introduce Jim Peters. Jim is a seasoned financial leader who brings a proven track record of driving operational discipline and resilience. During his 22 year career at Whirlpool, Jim led the company through complex global cycles and navigated margin pressures and volatile global consumer demand. Just as importantly, Jim is a values based leader with a strong commitment to developing the next generation of talent.
While the CFO recruitment process took a bit longer than we originally anticipated, this was not a decision to be rushed. Jim has been with us since the end of March and as expected, the transition has been smooth. I'll now turn the call over to Jim.
Jim Peters (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Thank you Lawson and good morning everyone. I'm excited to be here and joining this strong leadership team. I truly believe we have the right brands, products and people to continue winning in this industry. Building on Lawson's overview, I will dive into the financial drivers that underpinned our fiscal 2026 performance, including our gross margin expansion, operating expenses and capital allocation. From there, I will provide context on our fiscal 2027 outlook outlining how we will manage the business through a unique cost cycle that we have discussed previously.
First, looking at our gross margin in fiscal 2026,, our reported gross profit increased 2%, resulting in a reported gross margin of 60.5%. Our gross margin expanded 160 basis points due to a 130 basis point a and D benefit largely related to the conclusion of our relationship with Corbel and the absence of the prior year transition services agreement for Sonoma Cottre, a 20 basis point favorable impact from foreign exchange and 20 basis points of lower cost.
While we are still experiencing higher costs due to lower production levels and inflation on our input costs such as wood, these were largely offset by the timing of cost fluctuations. These benefits were partially offset by 10 basis points of unfavorable price mix due to the strong growth of new mix and lower used barrel sales. Turning to operating expenses, our long term philosophy remains investing in our brands to drive sustainable growth. In fiscal 2026, our organic advertising expense decreased 5% reflecting a more targeted, efficient and disciplined approach to our marketing spend as well as strategically investing behind sources of growth
such as innovation, particularly Jack Daniels Tennessee BlackBerry. Our organic SGA investment increased 7% driven by costs associated with the contemplated business transact discussions as well as higher compensation and benefit related expenses. In the fourth quarter, we recognized $45 million and $87 million non cash impairment charges for the Gin Mare and Diplomático brand names respectively. These impairments largely reflect a decline in our forecast assumptions due to the softening category outlook and challenging macroeconomic environment in many of our top markets for these brands.
While the brands had a slower start than we planned and the operating environment has become more challenging since we acquired the brands in 2023, we continue to expect that Gin Mare and Diplomático will contribute long term growth to our portfolio of brands. In total, reported operating income decreased 10% and organic operating income decreased 2%. In fiscal 2026, diluted earnings per share decreased 17% to $1.53 per share, which was driven largely by the non cash impairment charges and the absence of the prior year gain on sale of our investment in Duckhorn.
We continue to maintain a strong balance sheet and have strengthened our cash position. In 2026, our capital allocation philosophy has not changed. We continue fully investing in our business through both organic growth and strategic acquisitions. We balance these investments with a commitment to returning cash to shareholders through increasing regular dividends, share repurchases and special payouts, all aimed at the fundamental goal of generating sustainable long term value for our shareholders.
We have been disciplined in managing our working capital appropriately. In fiscal 2026, our working capital needs were lower as we completed a series of significant multi year capital investments that we believe will set us up well for the future. We grew cash flows from operations by $402 million to $1 billion, primarily reflecting our disciplined approach to working capital management. As you can see on Schedule E of our earnings release, free cash flow which we define as cash provided by operating activities.
Less capital expenditures increased by $462 million to $893 million, reflecting strong operating cash flow generation and the lower capital expenditure needs. For the 42nd consecutive year, we increased our regular dividend and paid quarterly dividends totaling $427 million to stockholders. In the fiscal year, we also repurchased $400 million of our outstanding shares of Class A and Class B common stock. Now, to our full year fiscal 2027 outlook, the spirit sector continues to face macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainties.
We anticipate that these conditions will continue to influence consumer behavior, negatively impacting beverage alcohol consumption largely within developed markets, resulting in category growth that remains below long term historical averages for total distilled spirits. As we navigate these cyclical disruptions, we will continue to leverage the strength of our portfolio of brands including Strategic Innovation, our evolved route to consumer structure and our talented team of people around the world.
With this in mind, in fiscal 2027 we expect the depletion based trends in the US and developed international markets to remain similar to fiscal 2026, offset by continued growth in our emerging international markets and the Travel Retail Channel. There are a few exceptions, though mainly related to year over year comparisons. First, while we remain hopeful for the return of American spirits products to Canadian store shelves, we continue to assume they will remain off the shelves across most of Canada for our full fiscal year, although this will compare against a similar environment in the year ago period.
Next, the demand and pricing for used barrels remains volatile and at cyclical lows. Therefore, we expect continued pressure on used barrel sales, but the year over year dollar impact on net sales will be significantly less. Finally, we anticipated that shipments would be roughly in line with the depletions in 2026. Yet shipments related to innovation, particularly for Jack Daniel's Tennessee BlackBerry, continue to exceed our expectations. While it is taking slightly longer than anticipated, we continue to expect that the gap between shipments and depletions will close.
Therefore, we anticipate that depletions will exceed shipments in fiscal 2027. These expectations are reflected in our fiscal 2027 outlook while we continue to execute on our long term pricing strategy and expect to benefit from our revenue growth, management activities and strategic innovation, particularly the continued international launch of Jack Daniels Tennessee BlackBerry. We anticipate product mix headwinds due to the faster growth of our RTD portfolio.
Based on the currently known factors, we expect organic net sales to be approximately flat in this dynamic operating environment, we will carefully manage our costs and operating expenses. As we shared on our last earnings call, our inventory includes whiskey and barrels produced during the hyperinflationary years of the early 2000s when we face significant cost increases for barrels, grain energy as well as general inflation. As we bottle and sell this inventory, we expect the cost pressures associated with our barreled whiskey to persist for the next couple of years.
While we have taken strategic steps to optimize our wood supply chain due to the aging of most of our products, the impact of these actions will take time to materialize in our results. Therefore, we have also been identifying other cost savings and efficiencies to help partially offset these cost pressures. In the near term, we project higher input costs in fiscal 2027, largely driven by the impact of inflation, particularly transportation and glass, related to higher energy cost as well as lower production volumes.
Our outlook for organic operating expenses continues to reflect investment behind our brands. Utilizing our long term brand investment philosophy, we anticipate a reduction in SG&A as we lap the significant investment levels of fiscal 2026. Based on the above, we forecast organic operating income to decline in the 3 to 5% range. We expect our estimated capital expenditures outlook to be in the range of 60 to 70 million dollars, which is down significantly compared to recent years.
We believe our fiscal 2027 effective tax rate will be in the range of approximately 20 to 22%. In summary, we delivered above our organic net sales and organic operating income expectations in an uncertain and volatile operating environment in fiscal 2026,. While we navigate these near term cycles, we are leaning into the power of our brands, our innovation momentum and the benefits of our optimized route to consumer. Supported by a more agile organization and strong balance sheet, we remain focused on driving sustainable growth and delivering long term value for our shareholders.
Before proceeding to the Q and A, I want to briefly reiterate a few points on the termination of our discussions with Pernod Ricard. As Lawson noted, we evaluate every opportunity against the standard of long term shareholder value and in this case we were unable to reach mutually agreeable terms. Our focus remains on our strategic and operational priorities and delivering long term value creation for our shareholders. We will not comment further on this topic or any M and A speculation.
So thank you in advance for focusing your questions on our ongoing business operation. This concludes our prepared remarks. Please open the line for questions.
OPERATOR
Certainly. As a reminder to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press Star one one Again. Please stand by while we compile our Q and A roster and our first question will be coming from the line of Lauren Lieberman of Barclays. Your line is open. Great. Thanks Good morning everyone. First thing I wanted to ask, just the CAPEX guidance.
So it's the implication of something less than 2% of sales. That's a level we haven't seen since the depths of COVID So capital discipline makes a lot of sense, of course, but just curious if you see this as sort of a short term reflective of lighter capital needs kind of over the medium term, like stretching beyond fiscal 27 and any additional color you think would be relevant there. Thanks.
Jim Peters (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Yeah, Lauren, this is Jim and here's where I start with. I think you have to kind of look back over a multi year timeframe to begin with on where our CapEx has been and we've made some significant investments over the last few years. And what we're doing is we're coming to the end of those significant investments right now. And so I would say that 2027 or fiscal year 27 is really reflective of what is more of an ongoing level.
And then as we continue to evaluate our portfolio and what the needs are, obviously we'll vary off of that, but I think this is just more reflective of the completion of a lot of big investments we've made that will give us the portfolio and the capacity that we believe is necessary on a go forward basis.
OPERATOR
And our next question will be coming from the line of Peter Gromp of ubs. Your line is open.
Jim Peters (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Great, thank you. Good morning everyone. This is maybe a bit more of a housekeeping question, but just, you know, over the last year there's a lot of moving pieces as you think about GAAP operating income versus kind of the organic. So can we maybe just walk through the various puts and takes and I guess what I'm trying to understand as we think about the GAAP operating income of fiscal 26, you know, around a billion doll, what's the right starting point after adjusting for these items and then kind of applying the -5% to -3% guidance.
So here's what I would say is I think obviously the biggest item in there has been the impairments and you know, those are a type of one off type of thing. And obviously we did have something with genmare last year, but I believe when you look at that and you back that out, you get the to some significantly smaller items that we have there that are very reflective of just some opportunities, to be honest, that we've taken advantage of around duty drawbacks and some other things.
And so I think if you think about it on a go forward basis, I don't know that we expect that to be a Significant amount, you know, within our results. And so I think, you know, our organic and our gap will be relatively close absent of anything unknown out at the marketplace.
OPERATOR
And our next question will be coming from Filippo Filorni of Citi. Your line is open.
Filippo Filorni (Equity Analyst at Citi)
Thank you. Good morning everyone. I wanted to ask about the guidance on organic sales for fiscal 27 of above flat. I think, Jim, you said that you expect depletions to outpace shipments next year, which kind of would imply depletion based result, probably up slightly as you get the reversal of the overshipment. I guess what gives you the confidence to get to more positive kind of depletion numbers.
Given to your point, the macro environment in developed market is still a bit challenging. Emerging market is still growing nicely. But it just feels there's quite still a bit of headwind in the macro environment and the distilled spirits category. So I was hoping to get a little more clarity on the drivers to get to that implied positive kind of shipment result. Positive depletion result. Thank you.
Jim Peters (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Yeah, so let me kind of start here and what I would say is you took some of the big moving pieces there and moving parts. But you know, what you've got to start with is I think we're going into the year with good momentum to begin with, especially around our innovation portfolio. And you kind of heard mentioned multiple times the Jack Daniels Tennessee BlackBerry, we're rolling that out. That's been mainly a domestic launch this year.
It's now becoming more of an international launch also we're launching different sizes of that into the marketplace at this time. So you know, as I start to step back and say yes, from a macro environment perspective, we still see that to be challenging from a depletion standpoint.
We do believe that distributor inventories will come down some next year, but there still will remain some additional inventory probably in the system as we look at the innovation and new launches as well as our new distributor portfolio. You know, additionally what we've had over recent years is a negative impact of barrel sales decreasing which is starting to stabilize now at this point. So we don't have that type of drag.
You know, other things that I see as a neutral to positive are things around pricing in that. And again, as we continue to execute our long term pricing strategy and you know, maybe what will put a little bit of pressure will help us from a volume perspective, but puts a little bit of pressure on mixes just as our portfolio shifts more to RTDs.
But I think when you take all of those into account, we feel good about the Innovation and the new products we're bringing to market that are really offsetting what I'd say is a challenging environment right now.
Nadine Sarwa Bernstein (Equity Analyst)
And our next question will be coming from the line of Nadine Sarwa Bernstein. Your line is open. Hi guys, thanks for taking my question. Mine is on the guidance and in particular operating income growth being weaker than top line. Could you provide us with your expectations with regards to gross margin contraction in particular?
And here, you know, I'm trying to get a sense of how much of that contraction would come from more costly barreled whiskey versus the present day headwinds from transportation and glass versus the negative product mix you called out any form of magnitude that you could provide around those would be helpful.
Jim Peters (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Yeah, I think. And again this is Jim, I think, you know, we don't necessarily split out all those kind of components as, as we look at it. I mean we had talked in the previous earnings calls about, you know, the whiskey that we have in barrels, that is a cost that we know, a cost that we understand very well and a cost headwind that will be with us for, you know, the next few years.
And I think that's probably if you just start to take order of magnitude, that's maybe one of the bigger cost issues that we see in front of us and that we're dealing with to offset the other things that I talked about within there are more just reflective of the current environment and what's going on and can be costs that fluctuate, you know, on a regular basis, such as energy and transportation costs and the rest of that.
So I think you just have to think about the biggest part of it is what we have in our barreled whiskey inventory right now and that's driving the gross margin impact for 2027, which we'll continue to see, you know, but we do believe it's stabilizing and it's very predictable. And then on a go forward basis our cost actions are will begin to offset more and more of that.
Lawson E. Whiting
And let me add something to it too on the pricing side of things because I think there's some good news sort of bubbling down low in the world of pricing in the US market. I mean if you look at it, XRTDs, excuse me, I mean the 13 week numbers in TDS pricing is down 152 week is basically down 1 also and we're like down a half a point range.
So for all those that thought this tequila business and the American whiskey business and expect a, you know, a big significant drop in pricing around that, it has not happened Tequila's down two. I think American whiskey is down one and a half. Ish. So not, I mean, it's not great, but it's certainly not reflective of a giant repositioning of the category or, you know, a big amount of discounting or anything like that.
It's, as we've said on a few, few of the last quarters, the big companies seem to be pretty rational on the state of pricing, at least in the US Market. And I think it's true for Europe too. And it's holding together. So now impact on gross margin. I'm not saying it's. We expect a big increase either. We're just trying to hold our own at this point. But it shouldn't be a drag, pricing and mix.
I don't expect to be really any kind of a significant drag at all on fiscal 27. I know you didn't ask, Nadine, but I gave it to you anyway.
OPERATOR
And our next question will come from the line of Kevin Grundy of BNP Paribus. Your line is open.
Kevin Grundy (Equity Analyst at BNP Paribas)
Excellent, thanks. Good morning, everyone. Question for Jim. First, congratulations and welcome. Of course, you're joining the company at a very unique time. I don't need to tell you that with the strategic discussions and some pretty intense demand headwinds. First, I wanted to ask for your early observations.
What you see is the biggest opportunities here to unlock shareholder value as you think about sort of the big value triggers, sales margins and capital efficiencies. I don't expect you to comment, of course, on the terminated discussions, but within that context and thinking about those value triggers, what would you share with shareholders in terms of what you think is misunderstood about your current share price? So I appreciate your comments there.
Thank you.
Jim Peters (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Yeah, and thank you. And maybe I'll kind of tell you a little bit of my thoughts here. I mean, first off, as you heard in my prepared remarks, I'm excited to be here. I mean, you know, and Brown Forman, you know, has been a strong performer in what is now a challenging industry cycle. And I think, you know, fiscal year 2026 represents that, you know, strengths that I see within the company.
Obviously, our brand and product portfolio, you know, are second to none out there. And I think that really gives us the tools that we need to be able to drive value. I think, you know, the other thing is, and this is where you asked, you know, one of the things that I would say differentiates us and maybe is misunderstood in our value proposition is we have an extremely strong balance sheet.
We generate extremely strong free cash flow and as you saw with this year. And I think, you know, that will continue into the future. And, you know, in our industry, I tell you what, we're the top out there in terms of that. So I think that sets us up very well, you know, for the future. Listen, I think we're taking a lot of strong actions towards, you know, margin improvement and gaining share.
And that is going to be key, especially in a market that is down and in a cyclical type of environment. And, you know, as you kind of heard from Lawson, I spent almost 20 years, you know, dealing with the cyclical, cyclical type environment. But I think that's going to be very key for us, you know. And, you know, if you look at what I bring, hopefully is I bring a different perspective coming from that type of environment.
You know, I bring some experiences over the last 20 years in constantly having to operate in something like that. And I think that my role now is to help drive and accelerate these actions and really help move forward on our organic growth strategy. Because I think that's also something that, as people become understand that better, I think that is something also that will continue to drive shareholder value here.
So, you know, when I just step back and kind of summarize it all up, listen, I believe there is a very strong value creation opportunity here and, you know, whether it comes from the assets we have, the strong balance sheet we have, but, you know, also the actions that we are taking today to make us successful in this type of environment. So I'm excited to be here and excited about the future.
OPERATOR
And our next question will come from the line of Andrea Pistachi of Bank of America. Your line is open.
Andrea Pistachi (Equity Analyst at Bank of America)
Yep. Thank you. So my question is actually on the new MICS launch in the US which you said is exceeding your expectations. Now, looking at Nielsen data, which I know may be skewed to certain states, but it appears to have had a really strong start and is becoming an important contributor to your growth.
So could you update us on where you are with the distribution rollout? What you see as the potential, in what way has it exceeded your expectation? What makes a brand really stand out in a crowded RTD space? Thank you.
Lawson E. Whiting
I'll try this one. I mean, it's. Look, Numix, as I think you all realize, is a massive brand in Mexico. So it is very well known among Mexican consumers both in Mexico and in the United States. And so it's been, you know, one of our, in terms of top line, just a massive driver now for several years in a row. And it's gotten to be, you know, very, very large within that market.
So we've got a set of consumers that know the brand already and we want to go after that inside the United States. So it was launched in October in nine markets. I did say it's the eighth largest contributor to the RTD category growth, and we haven't even had it out there for a year. So we're pretty happy with the beginning days of this.
And it's a way to really get into the Mexican American accounts, and they are where you probably would expect heavy emphasis on California and the Southwest and places like that, which are very much Nielsen Scan markets. But it's exciting stuff. We've also done an El Jimador spritz, which just launched, like in the last few weeks. Similar. It's going to be a broader set of consumers that we go after with that.
But it's still a brand that's well known both in Mexico and the United States. And it's a little bit different. It's very much going after that light, refreshing option which pretty much dominates the RTD category these days. So, yeah, so off to a good start. It's just so new, but we'll see. I think there's a lot of enthusiasm and excitement and we will slowly begin to move it out into the rest of the United States, I would expect, over the next year.
OPERATOR
And our next question will be coming from the line of Robert Odenstein of Evercore isi. Your loan is open, Robert.
Robert Odenstein (Equity Analyst at Evercore ISI)
Great. Thank you very much and congratulations, Jim. So, Lawson, I was wondering if you can talk a little bit. And you kind of inched into it, right.
With your discussions on price, price being down a little bit, I was wondering if you could talk about to what extent you think that price levels are a barrier to more spirits consumption in the US and to what extent, given a pretty constrained consumer, particularly at the lower end, the fact that in general, spirit on the package side doesn't have maybe as much flexibility in terms of variety of package sizes and units as some other categories.
Perhaps you don't have as many levers to pull in terms of price pack architecture and revenue management tools to address affordability issues. So kind of big topic there, I know, but love to get your thoughts on that in terms of the spirits industry and Brown Forman in particular, and how you may or may not address those challenges. Thank you.
Lawson E. Whiting
Yeah, so interesting question. Thank you, Robert. Taking a real long, like a long like a decade view on it to start with a little bit. I've always kind of found it interesting and quite Honestly, I think spirits has underpriced over the last decade. Not overpriced so, but I always compare it to beer.
So beer a decade ago or even a little longer was not getting any volume growth and they got all their value growth through pricing which looked great on the financial statements at the time and improved margins. It does all that kind of stuff. But now we stand where we are today, relatively speaking, beer is more expensive than spirits, at least compared to history.
And so as I said, spirits really hasn't taken all that much pricing over the last decade. There was that spot, you know, post Covid, but for the most part it hasn't been all that much. Where the pricing challenge I think for the spirits industry is the on premise. And it's not that we're selling in at particularly higher prices or anything like that.
It's the restaurants that have taken massive margin increases on the spirit side of their business and to pay for the rent and higher wages and all the rest of it. So I don't really see pricing, particularly off premise pricing I guess as a significant impediment to consumers. Now you write the sort of K economy changes, you still have super ultra premium price brands that are doing well and that's a great consumer that isn't so price sensitive.
We're not very exposed to the sort of the lower end products and that's kind of been a debate over the last year really should we have more exposure in that space. But I don't expect that we're really going to chase that kind of volume. And we've had some good, some success stories. I mean, I'll say Jack Heritage Barrel is one that we had this year that is very high priced and it's flying, it absolutely flies off the shelf.
So we're all, we're feeling pretty good about the, you know, where the consumer is relative to our brands. And I just don't think pricing is the, that's not the challenge.
OPERATOR
And our next question will be coming from the line of Steve Powers of Deutsche Bank. Your line is open, Steve.
Steve Powers (Equity Analyst at Deutsche Bank)
Great, thank you very much. I guess going back real quick, going back to Peter's question on organic operating income, I'm just wondering if there is a specific dollar amount in terms of we should anchor to exiting fiscal 26 as the organic operating income base off of which the fiscal 27 guidance is based. Because I'm not 100% sure exactly what the base is. That'd be kind of clean up number one.
And then I wanted to talk about the 150 basis points over the next couple years of higher costs that are flowing through the P and L. You know, I guess as I think about it, a lot of those costs should be cash expenditures that were made historically.
So I'm just, I'm wondering if there is a silver lining to those costs as they flow through the P and L that maybe the cash conversion on, you know, as they flow through has actually improved because maybe today's costs are less than what's flowing through on a cash basis. If that makes sense. Thanks for both.
Jim Peters (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
So maybe I'll start with your second question because I think that's probably the very straightforward one. And yes, there is an obvious cash benefit with that.
As you look at the inventory that we have that was higher priced and already has been paid for and then what we were able to sell it for right now and looking at what we're doing and how we're managing our inventory levels, working capital and especially inventory should generate positive cash flow for us on a go forward basis. And I think even if you look at working capital within this year, it was positive to cash flow.
So I think that's the right way to think about it. I think the other thing is as we kind of talk about this year on the starting point for organic income compared to what to expect for next year. And if you really just go to the, the schedule that we had that shows that our reported was around $1 billion and then you do the adjustments off of that and especially the biggest one being the impairment it really kind of implies.
But that's probably on an organic basis closer to $1.1 billion. And that's the base where we start from an organic perspective and work off of there.
OPERATOR
And our next question will be coming from the line of Robert Moscow of TD Cohen. Your line is open.
Seamus Cassidy
Hi, this is Seamus Cassidy on for Robin. Thanks for the question. I wanted to ask about the realignment of your U.S. control state distribution network. I know it's been three days now, so I won't ask about early learnings yet, but can you discuss, I guess, your expectations for this transition from an execution standpoint and do you anticipate any short term disruption and then also what sort of benefit does your organic sales guidance bake in just from an improved margin standpoint.
Lawson E. Whiting
Thanks, make sure I heard all that. But look, control state evolution isn't really, we're not expecting dramatically different than what we've been through in the open states over the last year. If anything it's a little bit easier quite honestly because just the way that the control states are set up and how you do the purchases and things like that. So look, this is going to be a good thing for brown farming.
We've made these changes over the last year and look there were last summer and into the fall there was some bumps along the way. It's going to take a little bit to get the emerging brands as an example going again. Everybody focuses on Jack first and sort of works their way down. So we expect better performance in the emerging brands over the next year.
And I think, look at this point, particularly distributors that were beer distributors before, it took a little bit of time to sort of get them up to speed but they're, they're fully up to speed now and you know, we're regaining. I mean the one thing that happens when you do these changes are we lost some on premise listings in a hand. You know, in a lot of states we lost them. You just got to go fight and go get it back. And they're doing that now.
So you know, hopefully this year just it has a little bit less disruption, a little bit less volatile and I know there are a lot of puts and takes in there and everybody's trying to figure it all out. But at the end of the day we feel pretty good about our position now, better than we did a year ago and excited to see what happens in fiscal 27.
OPERATOR
And our next question will be coming from the line of Chris Pitcher of Rothschild Co. Redburn. Your line is open.
Chris Pitcher (Equity Analyst at Rothschild & Co. Redburn)
Thanks very much, Lawson and Jim. Hello. Can I ask a question and a quick follow up in terms of Japan? Given your opening comments, Lawson, I'm surprised it wasn't called out in the statement given the extra sales you'd have got from William Grant Sons, etc. Are there any technical effects which held back the performance of Japan in the year? Because you sounded pretty confident on it.
And then secondly, could I just follow up on the comment around the non branded and bulk that's only been reported during a period of strong growth in the Scotch industry? For example, is there any sort of residual income within that like contract bottling or maybe some bulk sales that means it can't go to zero?
Lawson E. Whiting
Well, let me hit Japan here first. So, and I'm not quite sure exactly how you what your question was other than let me just talk about Japan for a second and I'll. So look, it's one of the biggest whiskey markets in the world. It's a very big American whiskey market and is one that we've, we've had success. We're Actually pretty good sized there. We hired a lot of people to be able to go after that market. It is a.
But it's not, you know, it's a challenging market. So we've hired a lot of people with the expectation of pretty significant growth. Bringing in William Grants and Sons, just a handful of brands from them just helps us get started. And they're good brands. They're brands that fit well within our portfolio. They're very premium.
And so it's just a, it's a way for us to supplement our, you know, bring more brands in more scale so that we can justify, not justify but so that we can continue to use our sales force and optimize the people that we have.
Jim Peters (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Do you. And then the barrel thing. Yeah then the biggest impact when you look at, you know, the non branded is that's where our barrel sales flow through. And we've talked about this multiple times but you know our barrel sales probably peaked around 2022, 2023 and then have come down significantly right now. And I think the, the one question what you implied there is yes you get to a point where eventually
you don't have any and that would just hit the bottom. But right now I'd say we're still selling used barrels but the prices are down significantly and the market is down significantly. And as I mentioned earlier in some of the comments it should not be a significant impact on our top line go forward that we've really seen the bulk of the decline in that is already occurred and so now we're kind of what is a steady state level that you know at some point we would probably expect to go back up but doesn't have much further.
It could fall.
OPERATOR
And our next question will come from the line of Eric Serrata of Morgan Stanley. Your line is open Eric.
Eric Serrata (Equity Analyst at Morgan Stanley)
Great. Thanks for taking the question. Lawson. Can you just give us a little bit of an update as to the BlackBerry International plans? And first I guess where are you today in terms of which markets and when you entered them? What are the plans for the next 12 months? And maybe it's too early but how are these markets tracking versus other international flavor or other flavors in other international markets like. Like how honey is done. Thanks.
Lawson E. Whiting
Sure. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So we said on the call and a little bit earlier that we talked about the US and how excited we are about the US and how fast it's growing. So I'll focus really these on the international side of things. So we went into the UK, Germany, Poland, Chile and France in fiscal 26. So about halfway through the year. So, so they are, you know, they have launched and they're continuing to go.
It's actually, you know, the volumes are nice and you know, we're pretty excited about it now. As I think we've said multiple times, this was always planned out to be a two year launch plan. We have the advantage where others don't of having a very large international demand for the Jack Daniels brand. And so BlackBerry is going to basically go everywhere eventually everywhere. We've got our other flavors and honey.
Honey has been a rock success for a long time. It's been in the market now for 15ish years, but it's approaching 2 million cases. So we're very happy that goes, we'll see how big BlackBerry can get. But it's a flavor that works well in the, we think in the international markets it's just a, it's a globally relevant flavor and they're quite so they're harder to find globally relevant flavors. To be honest with you.
There have been, there's just so many different brands out there these days. But you know, the initial response from retailers, consumers has been really strong and we're going to continue this launch throughout fiscal 27.
We've got probably the market to look at or that would, we would say to be the most optimistic is Brazil just because Apple has been a home run down there and even Tennessee with, you know, basically the entire Jack Daniel's portfolio does so well down there and we think BlackBerry can do well just to end on. One of the things about BlackBerry I think that is exciting is it mixes so well with lemonade.
It's just a simple two, you know, simply lemonade and BlackBerry makes for a great summertime drink. As we move into summer, other flavors, even our own flavors, it's more challenging to have a natural partner for it. Either the cocktails either get fancy or it just hasn't been as easy. This one seems to work really, really well. And so we're going to continue to grow that and basically around the world.
Sue Parham (Vice President Director, Investor Relations)
And I would now like to hand the conference back to Sue Parham for closing remarks.
OPERATOR
Thank you. And thank you Lawson and Jim. And thank you to everyone for joining us today for Brown Forman's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 earnings call. If you have any additional questions, please contact us as we close. Just to let you know, National BOURBON Day is June 14th. It's a day to commemorate the 1964 U.S. congressional resolution declaring bourbon as America's native spirit.
On this day, wherever you are, we hope that you will responsibly enjoy a glass of Old Forester and Woodford Reserve. And always remember that all bourbon is whiskey. But not all whiskey is bourbon. With that, this concludes today's call.
Disclaimer: This transcript is provided for informational purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, there may be errors or omissions in this automated transcription. For official company statements and financial information, please refer to the company's SEC filings and official press releases. Corporate participants' and analysts' statements reflect their views as of the date of this call and are subject to change without notice.
Login to comment