Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed a draft Form S-1 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on June 1, beating Sam Altman’s OpenAI, which filed its Form S-1 a week later.

The draft filings had raised buzz about when the two artificial intelligence (AI) companies will go public and who will make their debut first.

Here’s What Prediction Market Is Saying

While there is no update from Anthropic about when it will go public, prediction market odds have declined.

Polymarket, a Polygon (CRYPTO: POL) based prediction platform that allows users to wager on an outcome using the USDC (CRYPTO: USDC) stablecoin is currently betting on a contract "Anthropic IPO by __?"

Over $1.56 million has been bet on the contract so far.

There has been a sharp decline in the probability of the company going public soon. Bettors have placed a 2% probability of Anthropic going public by Sep. 15, 2026, down by 33%. The odds for Sep. 30, 2026 are 11%, down by 75%.

The odds considerably increase to 70% for Oct. 31, 2026, up by 27%. They are highest at 85% for Dec. 31, 2026, showing confidence that Anthropic will go public in 2026.

OpenAI Reportedly Delays IPO

OpenAI, however, may not make its public debut this year. The company has reportedly delayed its IPO to next year after being advised to wait out the volatile market conditions.

Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

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